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Women's Champions League | Second Round | 1st Leg
Oct 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford

Man Utd Women
1 - 1
PSG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Manchester United Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-2 Arsenal Women
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Manchester United Women 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain Women

Man United will be determined to make home advantage count in Tuesday's first leg, but we think that they will be frustrated and held to a draw by a PSG side that boasts a wealth of European experience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
32.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.45% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 42.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 58.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.9% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)66.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)25.9% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)60.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.61% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)53.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 32.71%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 42.83%
    Draw 24.44%
Manchester United WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.71%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 42.83%

How you voted: Man Utd Women vs PSG

Manchester United Women
58.8%
Draw
21.6%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
19.6%
51
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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