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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
Prenton Park

Liverpool Women
1 - 0
Man Utd Women

Clark (45+3')
Bonner (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (71'), Ladd (79'), Ladd (82')
Beard (0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool Women 4-3 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, May 1 at 7pm in Women's Super League

We said: Liverpool Women 2-1 Manchester United Women

Liverpool will be full of confidence following their midweek success over Chelsea, and we think that they could use the momentum built from that win to beat a Man United side that could be distracted by next Sunday's FA Cup final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 2-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool Women would win this match.

Result
Liverpool WomenDrawManchester United Women
14.25% (-0.267 -0.27) 18.62% (-0.154 -0.15) 67.13% (0.423 0.42)
Both teams to score 54.33% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73% (0.139 0.14)38.28% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45% (0.149 0.15)60.55% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)39.28% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (-0.263 -0.26)75.99% (0.264 0.26)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.48% (0.146 0.15)10.52% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.79% (0.327 0.33)34.21% (-0.325 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool Women 14.25%
    Manchester United Women 67.12%
    Draw 18.62%
Liverpool WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 4.06% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.86% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 1.8% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 14.25%
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.62%
0-2 @ 10.47% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 7.87% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 7.35% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.43% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 4.14% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.99% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.86% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 67.12%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 12.15pm
Gameweek 10
Man Utd Women
1-2
Liverpool Women
Toone (3')
Turner (29')
Turner (32' og.), Hinds (68')
Koivisto (8'), Bonner (76')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Jan 15, 2023 2.05pm
Gameweek 11
Man Utd Women
6-0
Liverpool Women
Garcia (6'), Russo (24'), Ladd (41'), Koivisto (63' og.), Thomas (72'), Deman (84')
Jan 12, 2020 12pm
Sep 28, 2019 12pm
Man Utd Women
2-0
Liverpool Women
James (71'), Zelem (95' pen.)
James (89')

Lawley (40'), Linnett (89'), Fahey (94')
rhs 2.0
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