MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:36:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
3 - 1
Man Utd Women

Park (37', 45'), Shaw (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Casparij (73' og.)
Blundell (21'), Ferreira (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton Women 1-4 Man City Women
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-1 Manchester United Women

Man City have already beaten Man United on two occasions this season, and after winning each of their last five home matches, we think that the hosts will do enough to get the better of their city rivals on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawManchester United Women
52.35% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 22.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 62.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)36.96% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (0.011999999999986 0.01)14.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.88% (0.025000000000006 0.03)42.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)27.11% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)62.5% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 52.35%
    Manchester United Women 25.62%
    Draw 22.04%
Manchester City WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 52.35%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Man City Women vs Man Utd Women

Manchester City Women
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Manchester United Women
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Man Utd Women
1-3
Man City Women
Zelem (21' pen.)
Malard (68')
Roord (34'), Hemp (35'), Shaw (55')
Greenwood (21'), Aleixandri (48')
Aleixandri (72')
May 21, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 21
Man Utd Women
2-1
Man City Women
Ladd (2'), Garcia (90+1')
Zelem (90'), Garcia (90+2'), Boe Risa (90+5')
Angeldal (68')
Angeldal (77')
Roebuck (42')
Dec 11, 2022 12.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 9, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
Man Utd Women
2-2
Man City Women
Staniforth (72'), Russo (75')
Shaw (38'), White (79')
Beckie (90+1')
Stanway (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!