Having avoided defeat in their last five league games, Liverpool should provide Man City with a tough test at Prenton Park. However, the Citizens have emerged victorious from each of their previous 11 league games, and we think that the title-chasers will do enough to continue that run with a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Liverpool Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
10.64% ( -0.23)	16.42% ( -0.09)	72.94% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 50.74% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.81% (

-0.26)

37.19% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.6% (

-0.29)

59.4% (

0.29)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.66% (

-0.6)

44.34% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.6% (

-0.49)

80.4% (

0.5)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.15% (

0.01)

8.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.7% (

0.02)

30.3% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Liverpool Women 10.64%

Manchester City Women 72.94%

Draw 16.42%

Liverpool Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
1-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 10.64%	1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 16.42%	0-2 @ 11.53% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 9.33% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.65% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 72.94%