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Women's Super League | Gameweek 12
Jan 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
1 - 1
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 1-1)
Hanson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Man City Women
Sunday, January 15 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Spurs Ladies
Saturday, January 14 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-1 Aston Villa Women

Aston Villa will head into the game in a confident mood following their win over Tottenham last weekend, and after beating Man City earlier in the season, they have the chance to complete the league double on Saturday. However, we think that a City side that have won seven of their last eight league games will have enough quality to record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 83.94%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 5.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 4-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
83.94% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36) 10.77% (0.216 0.22) 5.3% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 46.16% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.07% (-0.416 -0.42)28.93% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.11% (-0.511 -0.51)49.89% (0.514 0.51)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.09% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)4.92% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.28% (-0.408 -0.41)19.72% (0.412 0.41)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.54% (0.183 0.18)51.46% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.35% (0.117 0.12)85.65% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 83.92%
    Aston Villa Women 5.3%
    Draw 10.77%
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
3-0 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.47% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 8.68% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.116 0.12)
4-1 @ 5.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 5.23% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 3.48% (-0.057 -0.06)
6-0 @ 2.63% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 83.92%
1-1 @ 5.06% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.53% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 10.77%
1-2 @ 1.68% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 1.68% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 5.3%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 12.30pm
Aston Villa
4-3
Man City Women
Lehmann (22'), Daly (32', 76'), Dali (58')
Coombs (45+1', 55'), Shaw (53')
Raso (72')
Jan 15, 2022 1pm
Nov 20, 2021 11.30am
Man City Women
5-0
Aston Villa
Weir (48'), Stanway (51'), Raso (77', 81'), Hemp (78')
Jan 17, 2021 12.30pm
Man City Women
7-0
Aston Villa
Hemp (2', 38'), Scott (17'), Stanway (31'), Haigh (40' og.), White (45'), Kelly (79')
Sep 5, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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