Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.