Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Tanzania had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Tanzania win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
