Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Finland in this match.
