Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras1 - 0Cerro Porteno
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Cerro Porteno.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sport 1-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
2
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 4-2 Bolivar
Tuesday, April 1 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, April 1 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.84%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
67.84% ( -0.16) | 19.95% ( 0.09) | 12.2% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.03% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( -0.25) | 48.92% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( -0.22) | 71.01% ( 0.22) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( -0.12) | 13.43% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.61% ( -0.24) | 40.39% ( 0.24) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.86% ( -0.05) | 49.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.94% ( -0.04) | 84.05% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Palmeiras 67.84%
Cerro Porteno 12.21%
Draw 19.95%
| Palmeiras | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
| 2-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 67.84% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.95% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 12.21% |
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Palmeiras
2-1
Cerro Porteno
Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
Aug 10, 2018 1.45am
Form Guide
