World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 11.14am UK
Japan2 - 1Australia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Japan had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Japan win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Australia |
| 34.85% | 24.13% | 41.01% |
| Both teams to score 60.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
