World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 3am UK
Mexico2 - 1Jamaica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Jamaica |
| 64.32% | 21.74% | 13.95% |
| Both teams to score 43.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.68% | 52.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% | 74.01% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% | 15.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.37% | 44.63% |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.56% | 48.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.45% | 83.55% |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 64.32%
Jamaica 13.95%
Draw 21.73%
| Mexico | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 14.05% 2-0 @ 13.04% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 5.85% 4-0 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.12% 5-0 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.01% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.9% Total : 64.32% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 3.69% 0-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.78% Total : 13.95% |
How you voted: Mexico vs Jamaica
Mexico
84.3%Draw
5.7%Jamaica
10.0%70
Head to Head
