CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 15, 2021 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
Guatemala0 - 3Mexico
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 39%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Mexico |
| 39% | 24.32% | 36.68% |
| Both teams to score 60.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
