CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 19, 2021 at 3am UK
Mexico1 - 0El Salvador
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | El Salvador |
| 58.47% | 22.55% | 18.98% |
| Both teams to score 51.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
