World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 11pm UK
Paraguay1 - 1Colombia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Colombia |
| 40.74% | 25.37% | 33.89% |
| Both teams to score 56.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% | 47.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% | 69.91% |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% | 23.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.84% | 57.16% |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% | 27.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.62% | 62.38% |
| Score Analysis |
Paraguay 40.74%
Colombia 33.89%
Draw 25.37%
| Paraguay | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.89% |
How you voted: Paraguay vs Colombia
Paraguay
17.4%Draw
26.1%Colombia
56.5%69
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2019 8pm
Oct 6, 2017 12.30am
Form Guide
