World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 2, 2021 at 10pm UK
Ecuador2 - 0Paraguay
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Paraguay |
| 39.07% | 28.46% | 32.46% |
| Both teams to score 46.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.77% | 60.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.58% | 80.41% |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% | 29.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.91% | 66.09% |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% | 34.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.05% | 70.95% |
| Score Analysis |
Ecuador 39.07%
Paraguay 32.46%
Draw 28.45%
| Ecuador | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.49% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.3% Total : 32.46% |
How you voted: Ecuador vs Paraguay
Ecuador
49.0%Draw
25.5%Paraguay
25.5%51
