World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 11am UK

Rizal Memorial Stadium

Philippines
0 - 2
Vietnam

Rublico (45'), Schrock (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Toan Nguyen (16'), Bac Nguyen (90+4')
Thanh Vu (2'), Viet Nguyen (44'), Anh Bui Hoang (51'), Binh Nguyen (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Philippines and Vietnam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Philippines
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Vietnam

Last Game: South Korea 6-0 Vietnam
Tuesday, October 17 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Philippines 0-1 Vietnam

While Vietnam's recent results may appear alarming at first glance, the calibre of opposition must be taken into account, and the Golden Star Warriors boast a touch more pedigree at this level than their hosts. The Philippines ought to give their visitors a good run for their money, but as was the case in December 2022, we expect Vietnam to nick a goal and shut up shop to get their qualification campaign off to a flyer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Vietnam win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.

Result
Philippines	Draw	Vietnam
58.3%	22.74% ( -0)	18.96% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.81% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.93% (

48.07% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.77% (

70.23% (

-0)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.82% (

-0)

16.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.34% (

45.66% (

-0)

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.62% (

-0)

39.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.93% (

76.08% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Philippines 58.28%

Vietnam 18.96%

Draw 22.74%

Philippines	Draw	Vietnam
1-0 @ 11.6% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 5.98% 4-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.13% Total : 58.28%	1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.96%