Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.