World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle

San Marino
0 - 3
Hungary

Rossi (19'), Fabbri (20'), Lunadei (36'), Battistini (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Szalai (13' pen.), Sallai (71'), Nikolic (88' pen.)
Cseri (30'), Botka (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between San Marino and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Hungary
17.62%	23.22%	59.16%

Both teams to score 47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.08%

51.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33%

73.66%

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.8%

43.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.54%

79.46%

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76%

17.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45%

47.55%

Score Analysis

San Marino 17.62%

Hungary 59.15%

Draw 23.22%

San Marino	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 6.25% 2-1 @ 4.61% 2-0 @ 2.62% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.62%	1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.22%	0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 5.66% 0-4 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.59% Total : 59.15%