Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Ethiopia |
| 55.74% | 26.27% | 17.99% |
| Both teams to score 39.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.04% | 61.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.3% | 81.7% |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% | 22.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.96% | 56.04% |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.26% | 83.74% |
| Score Analysis |
South Africa 55.74%
Ethiopia 17.99%
Draw 26.26%
| South Africa | Draw | Ethiopia |
| 1-0 @ 16.34% 2-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 4.36% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.55% Total : 55.74% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.4% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 7.88% 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.99% |
How you voted: South Africa vs Ethiopia
South Africa
92.7%Draw
4.9%Ethiopia
2.4%41
Head to Head
Form Guide
