Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (8.39%).