Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Godoy Cruz
While the visitors are unbeaten in their last four matches, the three wins they managed in that time all came on their home patch, and the one away game they played ended in a draw.
They have been the better side this season to date, but the hosts' confidence is at an all-time high, which we feel levels the playing field and could result in them cancelling each other out.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.62% . A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 25.73% .
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.32%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%) , while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (10.14%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Velez Sarsfield Draw Godoy Cruz 45.62% ( 0.12) 28.64% ( -0.07) 25.73% ( -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.41% ( 0.14)
36.81% ( 0.2) 63.19% ( -0.2)
17.39% ( 0.14) 82.6% ( -0.14)
72.21% ( 0.16) 27.79% ( -0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.63% ( 0.2) 63.37% ( -0.21)
58.73% ( 0.07) 41.26% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.21% ( 0.06) 77.79% ( -0.06)
Velez Sarsfield 45.62%
Godoy Cruz 25.72%
Draw 28.63%
Velez Sarsfield Draw Godoy Cruz 1-0 @ 14.68% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 45.62% 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.63% 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 25.72%
How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Godoy Cruz
Velez Sarsfield
Draw
Godoy Cruz
5
rhs 2.0
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