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Asian Cup
Iraq national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 19, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Education City Stadium
Japan national football team

Iraq
2 - 1
Japan

Hussein (5', 45+4')
Natiq (15')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Endo (90+3')
Ito (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Iraq and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Indonesia 1-3 Iraq
Monday, January 15 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Japan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Japan 4-2 Vietnam
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: Iraq 1-3 Japan

 It has been quite some time since anyone has figured out how to slow down this dynamic Japanese attack, who continue to score at a torrid pace, and that alone should be more than enough to earn them another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Iraq win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
IraqDrawJapan
34.84% (-1.857 -1.86) 24.12% (0.214 0.21) 41.04% (1.646 1.65)
Both teams to score 60.68% (-1.095 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24% (-1.303 -1.3)41.76% (1.306 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.84% (-1.326 -1.33)64.16% (1.33 1.33)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-1.582 -1.58)23.65% (1.586 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (-2.338 -2.34)57.75% (2.341 2.34)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.212 0.21)20.52% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.329 0.33)53.03% (-0.325 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 34.84%
    Japan 41.04%
    Draw 24.12%
IraqDrawJapan
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-0 @ 7% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.3 -0.3)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.84%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.28 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.217 0.22)
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.489 0.49)
0-2 @ 6.09% (0.423 0.42)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.242 0.24)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 41.04%

How you voted: Iraq vs Japan

Iraq
14.9%
Draw
5.4%
Japan
79.7%
74
rhs 2.0
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