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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
Mainz logo

Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Laursen (42')
Andrade (52'), Prietl (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jae-sung (25'), Burkardt (69')
Kohr (58'), Hack (77'), Bell (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawMainz 05
25.15%26.5%48.34%
Both teams to score 47.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.66%56.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.63%77.36%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07%37.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3%74.69%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65%23.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69%57.31%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 25.15%
    Mainz 05 48.34%
    Draw 26.49%
Arminia BielefeldDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 6.05%
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.42%
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 25.15%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 12.88%
0-2 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-3 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-4 @ 1.65%
1-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 48.34%

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs Mainz 05

Arminia Bielefeld
20.5%
Draw
15.4%
Mainz 05
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Mainz
3-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Burkardt (53'), Onisiwo (59'), Ingvartsen (114')
Svensson (13'), Caricol (83')
Okugawa (2'), Klos (89')
Prietl (20'), Schopf (38'), Pieper (48'), Ramos (99')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Brosinski (56' pen.)
Bell (13'), Latza (73'), Barreiro (80'), Hack (90+4')
Voglsammer (76')
Lucoqui (14')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Arminia Bielefeld
2-1
Mainz
Prietl (21'), Doan (31')
Schipplock (74'), Hartel (85'), Kunze (90+4')
Stoger (82')
Niakhate (49'), St Juste (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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