Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach
Given that Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded a large volume of shots in their opening three games of the league season, it would be surprising if they kept a clean sheet.
However, it is difficult to ignore Borussia Monchengladbach's poor away form, and this should make the hosts favourites.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 42.51% . A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.58%) . The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result Eintracht Frankfurt Draw Borussia Monchengladbach 42.51% ( -0.35) 22.88% ( 0.06) 34.61% ( 0.28)
Both teams to score 65.29% ( -0.16)
64.3% ( -0.24) 35.7% ( 0.24)
42.23% ( -0.26) 57.77% ( 0.26)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
82.62% ( -0.23) 17.37% ( 0.24)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.21% ( -0.42) 47.78% ( 0.42)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
79.02% ( 0.04) 20.97% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.27% ( 0.06) 53.73% ( -0.06)
Eintracht Frankfurt 42.51%
Borussia Monchengladbach 34.61%
Draw 22.88%
Eintracht Frankfurt Draw Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.51% 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.88% 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.61%
How you voted: Frankfurt vs Borussia M'bach
Eintracht Frankfurt
Draw
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
7.7%
65
rhs 2.0
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