Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Beijing Guoan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guangzhou 2-4 Shandong
Thursday, December 15 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Thursday, December 15 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 3-0 Changchun
Thursday, December 15 at 7am in Chinese Super League
Thursday, December 15 at 7am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
54
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 2-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
12.82% ( -0.15) | 17.65% ( -0.06) | 69.52% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
