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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 31
Dec 15, 2022 at 7am UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
3 - 0
Changchun

Ziming (31', 51'), Zhang (63' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Hebei 0-4 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, December 10 at 7am in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Shenzhen 0-2 Changchun
Saturday, December 10 at 11am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
46.08% (-0.124 -0.12) 23.75% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 30.16% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.72% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)64.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)18.34% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)49.44% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.072000000000003 0.07)26.43% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (0.098000000000006 0.1)61.59% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 46.08%
    Changchun Yatai 30.16%
    Draw 23.74%
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 30.16%

How you voted: Beijing Guoan vs Changchun

Beijing Guoan
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Changchun Yatai
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2022 8.30am
Changchun
0-1
Beijing Guoan

Guan (25')
Zhang (35')
Aug 12, 2021 1.30pm
Beijing Guoan
2-1
Changchun
Zhang (53', 90')
Tianyi (57'), Li (77'), Ziming (83'), Xizhe (90+4'), Bai (90+4')
Negrao (74')
Weihui (23')
Jul 22, 2021 9.30am
Changchun
2-0
Beijing Guoan
Long (21'), Jie (74')
Li (49')

Yang (41'), Yang (90+2')
Oct 21, 2018 8.30am
Beijing Guoan
1-1
Changchun
Soriano (90' pen.)
Cheng (45'), Hu (84')
Li (45')
Zhe (71'), Zilong (73'), Guang (77'), Pejcinovic (84')
Zhe (90')
May 19, 2018 8.30am
Changchun
0-2
Beijing Guoan

Chao (59')
Soriano (16' pen.), Bakambu (73')
Bakambu (83')
rhs 2.0
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