Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.