Go Ahead Eagles

2 - 3

Ajax

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 3-2 (4.81%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.