MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 15:51:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
PEC Zwolle

Ajax
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Brobbey (35', 48')
Berghuis (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thy (60', 89')
Velanas (30'), Garcia McNulty (54'), Vellios (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 4-0 PEC Zwolle

Regardless of the short turnaround from Thursday night, we fully expect this to be one-way traffic. While the visitors netted five times in their last away game, they may not trouble the scorers on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawPEC Zwolle
66.13% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83) 17.07% (0.225 0.22) 16.79% (0.604 0.6)
Both teams to score 67.31% (0.521 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.09% (0.072999999999993 0.07)24.9% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.21% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.79% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.83% (-0.136 -0.14)7.17% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.93% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)26.07% (0.368 0.37)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (0.66900000000001 0.67)27.48% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (0.856 0.86)62.98% (-0.853 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 66.13%
    PEC Zwolle 16.79%
    Draw 17.07%
AjaxDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 7.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 5.01% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-2 @ 3.3% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.7% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.42% (0.031 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
6-0 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 66.13%
1-1 @ 6.71% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 17.07%
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 2.55% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Ajax vs PEC Zwolle

Ajax
100%
Draw
0.0%
PEC Zwolle
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ajax
3-0
PEC Zwolle
Tadic (30'), Klaassen (51', 80')
Sep 11, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
0-2
Ajax

Redan (49')
Haller (29', 67')
Antony (26'), Gravenberch (51'), Mazraoui (78')
Mar 14, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
PEC Zwolle
0-2
Ajax

Huiberts (62')
Neres (28'), Tagliafico (38')
Haller (90+1')
Dec 12, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 12
Ajax
4-0
PEC Zwolle
Huntelaar (7'), Promes (11'), Antony (35'), Gravenberch (90+2')
Apr 5, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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