Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark Den Donk
Willem II4 - 1Nijmegen
We said: Willem II 1-1 NEC
Both sides could really do with all three points following some disappointing results of late, but we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | NEC |
28.4% ( 0.06) | 24.38% ( -0.02) | 47.22% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.72% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
