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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
24.94% (![]() | 22.15% (![]() | 52.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% (![]() | 38.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.54% (![]() | 60.45% (![]() |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% (![]() | 28.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% (![]() | 63.99% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% | 14.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.4% (![]() | 42.59% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.33% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 10.01% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 9.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 69 | 24 | 45 | 51 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Feyenoord | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 39 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
9 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
12 | Willem II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Groningen | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |