St Gallen

1 - 4

Guimaraes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.