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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Benfica
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Akturkoglu (29')
Pavlidis (31'), Fernandez (59'), di Maria (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendes (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Sunday, December 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, December 2 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 Benfica are currently firing on all cylinders and will be backing themselves against a Guimaraes side who have failed to win any of the last 20 encounters between the two teams in over 16 years.   While Borges's men will look to continue from where they left off against Gil Vicente last time out, they are without a win in their most recent four away matches and we see them struggling at the Estadio da Luz once again.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
72.49% (0.29600000000001 0.3) 16.48% (-0.104 -0.1) 11.03% (-0.194 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)36.25% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.62% (-0.067 -0.07)58.38% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.28% (0.049999999999997 0.05)8.72% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.02% (0.123 0.12)29.98% (-0.125 -0.13)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.02% (-0.381 -0.38)42.98% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.73% (-0.325 -0.32)79.27% (0.322 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 72.49%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 11.03%
    Draw 16.48%
BenficaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 11.15% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.07% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.53% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 4.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.7% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.1% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 72.49%
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.48%
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 11.03%

How you voted: Benfica vs Guimaraes

Benfica
84.8%
Draw
15.2%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0.0%
33
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Guimaraes
2-2
Benfica
Silva (35' pen.), Silva (61')
Silva (9'), Gaspar (38'), Santos (73'), Oliveira (90+5')
Borevkovic (64')
Silva (40'), Cabral (90')
Kokcu (33'), Silva (44'), Luis (77'), Otamendi (90+7')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Benfica
4-0
Guimaraes
Fernandes (11' og.), Di Maria (33'), Kokcu (45+5'), Aursnes (46')
Bah (31'), Otamendi (60')

Silva (17'), Silva (40'), Handel (79'), Freitas (90+4')
Mendes (19')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Benfica
5-1
Guimaraes
Ramos (13'), Mario (28' pen., 36'), Silva (69' og.), Silva (89')
Silva (79')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Guimaraes
0-0
Benfica
> Preview
Feb 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 24
Benfica
3-0
Guimaraes
Ramos (23'), Nunez (37', 52' pen.)
Everton (35')

Semedo (3'), Mumin (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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