Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 84.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Virginia Water had a probability of 5.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Virginia Water win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham would win this match.