FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue
Southport0 - 1Curzon Ashton
FT(HT: 0-0)
Buckley-Ricketts (82')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Southport and Curzon Ashton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Darlington 3-0 Southport
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 31.75% | 24.35% | 43.89% |
| Both teams to score 58.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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