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Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2021 at 5pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Koln logo

Hoffenheim
3 - 0
FC Koln

Kramaric (7' pen., 75' pen.), Baumgartner (28')
Bebou (13'), Posch (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cestic (6'), Skhiri (56'), Mere (63')

Preview: Hoffenheim vs. FC Koln - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hoffenheim take on FC Koln in the Bundesliga on Sunday, with the hosts looking to put more distance between themselves and their forthcoming opponents, who currently occupy the relegation playoff position in the table.

Both sides are coming off the back of morale boosting victories in midweek, so it could be a higher quality affair than perhaps anticipated.


Match preview

Hoffenheim coach Sebastian Hoeness pictured on January 9, 2021© Reuters

After a domestic season blighted by injuries and inconsistency, Hoffenheim will hope that the worst is now behind them after Tuesday's excellent 3-0 victory at Hertha Berlin.

After Sebastian Rudy fired the visitors ahead in the first half, Sebastian Hoeness's side were allowed to play in a manner which suits them most in terms of transitioning quickly whenever the opportunities for them arose to do so.

Perhaps more of a crucial factor, though, was Andrej Kramaric looking back to his best. The Croatian forward scored his first brace since leading the sensational 4-3 victory over Bayern Munich in September, with Hoeness utilising him higher up the pitch than in recent weeks due to the return of several players from injury.

With a more solid platform behind him, Kramaric should now be allowed to shine once again, which can only lead to more consistently positive results for Hoffenheim in the coming weeks.

FC Koln manager Markus Gisdol pictured in May 2020© Reuters

After failing to win any of their previous five league games, FC Koln looked in danger of becoming marooned in 16th position at best this season.

As such, Wednesday's fixture against bottom placed Schalke 04 was a huge relegation six-pointer for both teams, with Jan Thielmann's last-minute winner earning Markus Gisdol's side a vital 2-1 win.

Rafael Czichos had fired the visitors into the lead but, after Matthew Hoppe scored his fifth goal in three games for Schalke after the break, the match looked as though it was fizzling out for a point apiece.

Thielmann's winner, however, leaves 16th-placed Koln only four points behind their forthcoming opponents Hoffenheim, who are 11th, with a whole host of teams now looking to avoid finishing in that dreaded relegation playoff position.

Hoffenheim Bundesliga form: LWLLDW
Hoffenheim form (all competitions): WLLLDW

FC Koln Bundesliga form: LDLLDW
FC Koln form (all competitions): DWLLDW


Team News

Hoffenheim midfielder Dennis Geiger pictured in action in January 2019© Reuters

Hoffenheim injury list remains lengthy, with Robert Skov, Kevin Akpoguma, Florian Grillitsch, Dennis Geiger, Pavel Kaderabek, Ermin Bicakcic, Benjamin Hubner and Kostas Stafylidis all unlikely to feature against Koln.

Thankfully for Hoeness, though, Kevin Vogt's injury scare in the draw against Arminia proved to be more minor than expected, with the central defender lasting 60 minutes against Hertha.

Koln's Sebastian Andersson and Florian Kainz are unlikely to travel to Hoffenheim due to knee injuries, but both could return to first-team action by the end of January.

Otherwise, Gisdol appears to have no injury concerns, with the 51-year-old likely to stick with the same XI which defeated Schalke.

Hoffenheim possible starting lineup:
Baumann; Kasim, Vogt, Posch; Gacinovic, Rudy, Samassekou, Baumgartner, John; Kramaric, Dabour

FC Koln possible starting lineup:
T. Horn; Cestic, Bornauw, Czichos; Ehizibue, Hector, Skhiri, J. Horn; Wolf, Drexler; Duda


SM words green background

We say: Hoffenheim 2-1 FC Koln

With Kramaric looking close to his best once again, we can envisage Hoffenheim putting serious distance between themselves and the relegation zone with a crucial victory.

Any victory for either side is unlikely to be by a big margin, though, with Koln regularly remaining competitive in games this season.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs FC Koln

Hoffenheim
70.9%
Draw
12.7%
FC Koln
16.4%
55
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Borussia Dortmund coach Edin Terzic reacts on January 9, 2021
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16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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