MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 15:15:01| >> :60:97:97:
Malaysia national football team
Friendlies 3
Sep 4, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadium Nasional Bukit Jalil
Philippines national football team

Malaysia
2 - 1
Philippines

Kutty Abba (43'), Rasid (73' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baharudin (28' og.)
(81'), Miguel Reyes (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Malaysia and Philippines, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaysia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Malaysia 3-1 Chinese Taipei
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Philippines

Last Game: Indonesia 2-0 Philippines
Tuesday, June 11 at 1.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Malaysia 2-0 Philippines

 Boasting a better record in 2024 and home advantage, Malaysia should be confident of recording a friendly success over the Philippines on Wednesday night. As was the case with their most recent victory over Chinese Taipei in June, we are expecting Harimau Malaya to win this contest by two clear goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 77.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Philippines win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.

Result
MalaysiaDrawPhilippines
77.96% (-0.873 -0.87) 13.8% (0.333 0.33) 8.24% (0.541 0.54)
Both teams to score 50.8% (1.476 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96% (0.434 0.43)32.04% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.39% (0.505 0.51)53.61% (-0.505 -0.51)
Malaysia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.39% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)6.61% (0.075 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.44% (-0.206 -0.21)24.55% (0.206 0.21)
Philippines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.39% (1.624 1.62)45.6% (-1.623 -1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59% (1.246 1.25)81.41% (-1.245 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Malaysia 77.95%
    Philippines 8.24%
    Draw 13.8%
MalaysiaDrawPhilippines
2-0 @ 11.12% (-0.36 -0.36)
3-0 @ 10.07% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.119 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-1 @ 7.91% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 6.84% (-0.282 -0.28)
4-1 @ 5.37% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.72% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.166 0.17)
5-1 @ 2.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.104 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.68% (-0.085 -0.09)
6-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 77.95%
1-1 @ 6.43% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 13.8%
1-2 @ 2.52% (0.155 0.16)
0-1 @ 2.37% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 0.93% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 8.24%

How you voted: Malaysia vs Philippines

Malaysia
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Philippines
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2022 12pm
International Friendly
Philippines
2-0
Malaysia
Rashid (3', 24')
Corbin-Ong (32')

Linares (42'), Bardanca (55'), Schrock (63'), Aguinaldo (77')
rhs 2.0
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