MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:30:33| >> :60:391:391:
Slovakia national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Wiener Neustadter Stadion
San Marino national football team

Slovakia
4 - 0
San Marino

Rigo (8'), Suslov (10'), Haraslin (36'), Strelec (58')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Contadini (78'), Palazzi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Slovakia and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 1-1 Slovakia
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: San Marino 0-0 Saint Kitts
Sunday, March 24 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Slovakia 3-0 San Marino

Even if Calzona opts to give playing time to some of his fringe players, we still think that Slovakia will have far too much quality for their opponents to get their Euro 2024 preparations up and running with a routine victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 92.98%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 1.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.38%) and 2-0 (12.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.55%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (0.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.

Result
SlovakiaDrawSan Marino
92.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 5.54% (-0.027 -0.03) 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 28.42% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.17% (0.061000000000007 0.06)25.83% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54% (0.078000000000003 0.08)46% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.04% (0.013000000000005 0.01)2.96% (-0.0139 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.62% (0.049999999999997 0.05)13.38% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
29.28% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)70.71% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.78% (-0.024 -0.02)95.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 92.97%
    San Marino 1.47%
    Draw 5.54%
SlovakiaDrawSan Marino
3-0 @ 15.21%
4-0 @ 13.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 9.43% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-0 @ 5.53% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 4.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 2.78% (0.016 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
8-0 @ 1.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
7-1 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 92.97%
1-1 @ 2.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 5.54%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 1.47%

How you voted: Slovakia vs San Marino

Slovakia
81.8%
Draw
6.8%
San Marino
11.4%
44
rhs 2.0
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