We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0-1 Slovakia
Bosnia-Herzegovina have not drawn a single match in this group, while Slovakia have shared the points on just one occasion, so the statistics point to a home or an away win here. The hosts are capable of securing all three points, but we just fancy Slovakia to edge a close contest this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.06) 
