MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:10:30| >> :60:2235:2235:
South Korea national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Vietnam national football team

South Korea
6 - 0
Vietnam

Min-jae (5'), Hee-chan (27'), Vo Minh (50' og.), Heung-min (61'), Kang-in (70'), Woo-yeong (86')
Yong-woo (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Anh Bui Hoang (37')
Anh Bui Hoang (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between South Korea and Vietnam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 4-0 Tunisia
Friday, October 13 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Vietnam

Last Game: Vietnam 0-2 Uzbekistan
Friday, October 13 at 12.35pm in International Friendlies

We said: South Korea 5-0 Vietnam

 There is a huge gulf in quality between the two nations, and South Korea recently dispatched a decent Tunisia side 4-0. As such, the hosts should have no trouble racking up a victory by a considerable margin on Tuesday night.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Vietnam win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
South KoreaDrawVietnam
55.12% (0.851 0.85) 24.95% (-0.319 -0.32) 19.92% (-0.531 -0.53)
Both teams to score 45.9% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (0.571 0.57)55.42% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (0.468 0.47)76.61% (-0.46499999999999 -0.46)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.57000000000001 0.57)20.07% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (0.905 0.91)52.31% (-0.903 -0.9)
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.43% (-0.246 -0.25)42.57% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.07% (-0.213 -0.21)78.93% (0.217 0.22)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 55.12%
    Vietnam 19.92%
    Draw 24.94%
South KoreaDrawVietnam
1-0 @ 13.72% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.118 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 55.12%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.92%

How you voted: South Korea vs Vietnam

South Korea
77.8%
Draw
7.4%
Vietnam
14.8%
27
rhs 2.0
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