La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))
We said: Osasuna 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Neither side are winning in La Liga at the moment, and we are therefore finding it difficult to back either with any real confidence here. It would not be a surprise to see either a home or an away victory, but we are expecting the points to be shared in a goalless draw on Friday night.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.06% . A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.22%) . The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
Result Osasuna Draw Rayo Vallecano 39.06% ( 0.16) 27.69% ( 0.01) 33.26% ( -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.09)
42.69% ( -0.09) 57.31% ( 0.09)
21.86% ( -0.07) 78.14% ( 0.07)
71.44% ( 0.05) 28.56% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.65% ( 0.06) 64.35% ( -0.07)
67.82% ( -0.17) 32.18% ( 0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.33% ( -0.19) 68.67% ( 0.19)
Osasuna 39.05%
Rayo Vallecano 33.26%
Draw 27.68%
Osasuna Draw Rayo Vallecano 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.05% 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.68% 0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.26%
How you voted: Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
72
rhs 2.0
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