Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Las Palmas |
35.27% ( -0.01) | 27.14% ( -0.04) | 37.59% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.02% ( 0.14) | 54.97% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.75% ( 0.12) | 76.25% ( -0.11) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( 0.06) | 29.69% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% ( 0.07) | 65.75% ( -0.07) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( 0.09) | 28.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.99% ( 0.12) | 64.01% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |