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AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Portsmouth

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Pigott (23')
Pigott (15'), Dobson (19'), Alexander (37')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Curtis (24'), Brown (45', 45+4')
Curtis (38')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Portsmouth.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
28.77%26.12%45.11%
Both teams to score 51.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27%52.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63%74.37%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98%33.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39%69.61%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.25%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 28.77%
    Portsmouth 45.1%
    Draw 26.11%
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 9.05%
0-2 @ 8.16%
1-3 @ 4.39%
0-3 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.1%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Portsmouth
4-0
AFC Wimbledon
Marquis (28'), Williams (36'), Raggett (44'), Close (89')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Portsmouth
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Harness (20'), Marquis (79')
Cannon (70')
Pigott (62')
Reilly (72'), Wagstaff (74'), O'Neill (90')
Wagstaff (84')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Portsmouth
Thomas (93')
Wagstaff (88')

Brown (35'), Marquis (40'), Raggett (83')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Portsmouth
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Lowe (8'), Curtis (80')
Curtis (80')
Appiah (75')
Wordsworth (55')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Portsmouth
Hanson (63')
Soares (49')
Naylor (24'), Evans (31')
Donohue (38'), Whatmough (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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