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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
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Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 30, 2021 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Crawley Town

Carlisle
2 - 0
Crawley

Riley (17'), Patrick (33')
Guy (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McNerney (66'), Craig (81')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrawley Town
40.31%27.29%32.4%
Both teams to score 49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03%55.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93%77.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78%27.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36%62.63%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92%32.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45%68.55%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 40.31%
    Crawley Town 32.4%
    Draw 27.28%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.31%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head
Nov 21, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Crawley
0-3
Carlisle

Sesay (80')
Bennett (43'), Kayode (55'), Hayden (62')
Guy (78')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 34
Crawley
0-0
Carlisle
Webster (35'), Anderton (66'), Hayden (85')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
2-1
Crawley
McKirdy (6'), Scougall (32')
Webster (46'), Loft (94')
Lubula (16')
Camara (38'), Sesay (43')
Young (97')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Carlisle
4-2
Crawley
Thomas (7', 9'), O'Hare (20'), Hope (31')
Nathaniel-George (44'), Gerrard (77' og.)
McNerney (21'), Dallison (93')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
2-3
Carlisle
Poleon (8', 40')
Francomb (37'), Payne (57'), McNerney (62')
Yates (14'), Grainger (37' pen.), Sowerby (56')
Yates (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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