Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
