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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Stevenage |
29.71% ( -0.14) | 26.4% ( 0.16) | 43.89% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.06% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.61% ( -0.7) | 53.39% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.08% ( -0.6) | 74.92% ( 0.6) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.34% ( -0.47) | 32.66% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.79% ( -0.53) | 69.21% ( 0.53) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -0.32) | 24.18% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( -0.45) | 58.5% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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