Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.