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Oldham Athletic
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Mansfield Town

Oldham
1 - 2
Mansfield

Keillor-Dunn (24')
Whelan (73'), Rogers (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oates (53'), Lapslie (90+5')
Perch (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oldham Athletic 0-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield's late winner in the week is likely to have re-energised their side following their back-to-back defeats prior to it. With the visitors on the up and the hosts in a desperate situation at the bottom following a dreadful run, Mansfield should be expected to edge out Oldham in this one, albeit likely by a narrow margin with both sides left with plenty to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
25.24%23.82%50.94%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49%45.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16%67.84%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58%68.42%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1%17.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3%48.7%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 25.24%
    Mansfield Town 50.94%
    Draw 23.81%
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.53%
2-1 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.24%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-2 @ 8.47%
1-3 @ 5.54%
0-3 @ 4.86%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.94%

How you voted: Oldham vs Mansfield

Oldham Athletic
29.6%
Draw
3.7%
Mansfield Town
66.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
0-0
Oldham

Clarke (38'), Lapslie (76'), Burke (90+2')

Stobbs (37'), Clarke (86')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
4-1
Oldham
Sinclair (12'), Lapslie (38', 80'), Reid (88')
Dearnley (51')
Clarke (77')
Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm
Oldham
2-3
Mansfield
McCalmont (6'), McAleny (84')
McAleny (61'), Rowe (65')
Charsley (36'), Sweeney (38'), Reid (49')
Cook (34'), Lapslie (87')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Oldham
3-1
Mansfield
Smith (23'), Hamer (43'), Nepomuceno (58')
Khan (93')
Riley (16'), Pearce (70')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
6-1
Oldham
Maynard (31', 34', 45'), Wheater (56' og.), Afolayan (66'), Knowles (83' pen.)
Pearce (65'), Sweeney (92')
Haymer (43')
Morais (33')
Egert (37'), Morais (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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