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Walsall
Scunthorpe United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Glanford Park
Carlisle United

Scunthorpe
0 - 1
Carlisle


Rowe (35'), Hackney (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McDonald (40')
Dickenson (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Scunthorpe United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Scunthorpe United 2-1 Carlisle United

Both teams have struggled so far this season and they are each in a real need to add some points if they are wanting to survive relegation. There is no doubt that each squad will view this as a must win game, but considering the recent form Scunthorpe have displayed, they should have enough to edge things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawCarlisle United
23.41%26.66%49.93%
Both teams to score 45.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15%78.85%
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.41%40.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.81%77.18%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57%57.43%
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 23.41%
    Carlisle United 49.92%
    Draw 26.66%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 3.87%
3-1 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.22%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 13.79%
0-2 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-3 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 49.92%

How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Carlisle

Scunthorpe United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Carlisle
2-2
Scunthorpe
Gibson (81'), Dickenson (90+5')
Jarvis (3'), Onariase (44')
Perry (66'), Hippolyte (78'), Rowe (86')
Apr 6, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Scunthorpe
Mellish (60', 62')

Loft (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Scunthorpe
1-0
Carlisle
Hallam (35')
Spence (74'), Beestin (84')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Scunthorpe
0-1
Carlisle

Clarke (27')
Loft (60')
Carroll (35'), Knight-Percival (65'), McKirdy (74'), Iredale (84'), Loft (89'), Elliott (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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