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Leeds logo
Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Elland Road
Everton logo

Leeds
1 - 2
Everton

Raphinha (48')
Harrison (16'), Ayling (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sigurdsson (9'), Calvert-Lewin (41')
Holgate (89'), Godfrey (90'), Olsen (90+1')

Preview: Leeds United vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leeds United will be looking to complete a league double over Everton for the first time since 1990-91 when the sides face off at Elland Road on Wednesday evening.

The Whites were 1-0 winners at Goodison Park in the reverse fixture, but they enter this game four points below their opponents having played a game more.


Match preview

Everton's Dominic Calvert-Lewin celebrates scoring against Sheffield Wednesday in the FA Cup on January 24, 2021© Reuters

Results have picked up for Everton since that defeat to Leeds a little under two months ago, with the Toffees collecting 17 points from the 27 on offer since then.

Saturday's 2-0 home loss to Newcastle United may have killed off the Toffees' momentum, but they still find themselves only six points behind the top four with two games in hand.

That defeat to an out-of-form Newcastle came on home soil, though away from Goodison Park they have won four of their last five in the league, including each of the last three.

Not since December 1985 have the Merseyside outfit won four top-flight away games in a row, but Elland Road is not a happy hunting ground for Everton.

Indeed, the Toffees have won only one of their last 37 top-flight away games against United - a 1-0 victory in November 2002 thanks to a Wayne Rooney goal.

Leeds United's Patrick Bamford celebrates scoring against Leicester City in the Premier League on January 31, 2021© Reuters

Leeds enter this contest full of confidence, too, having won back-to-back league matches against Newcastle and high-flying Leicester City.

However, while Everton have looked impressive on their travels, Leeds have won just two of their last eight at home, most recently losing 1-0 to Brighton & Hove Albion.

Of just as much intrigue will be the men in the dugouts, with Marcelo Bielsa aiming to become the fourth manager to win his first two top-flight games against Carlo Ancelotti.

The others, incidentally, were Alberto Zaccheroni (Udinese, 1996-97), Zdenek Zeman (1996-97, Lazio and Roma) and Gerardo Martino (2013-14, Barcelona).

Should he achieve that, Bielsa's men could move into the top half of the table. Victory for Everton, meanwhile, and Champions League football next term will remain a realistic aim.

Leeds United Premier League form: LDLWWL
Leeds United form (all competitions): WLLLWW

Everton Premier League form: WWLWDL
Everton form (all competitions): LWWWDL


Team News

Patrick Bamford celebrates scoring for Leeds United against Burnley in the Premier League on December 27, 2020© Reuters

Patrick Bamford sustained a dead leg in the 3-1 win at Leicester, a game in which he scored one and set up two more, but he expects to be fit and available for Wednesday's game.

In-form winger Raphinha is doubtful with a knock, as is Rodrigo Moreno, so Helder Costa and Mateusz Klich may be handed starts.

Defenders Diego Llorente and Robin Koch will definitely play no part because of muscular and knee injuries respectively.

As for Everton, Allan, Fabian Delph and Jean-Philippe Gbamin all remain sidelined.

Despite his place in the side being called into question, Ancelotti kept faith in goalkeeper Jordan Pickford against Newcastle and that should remain the case here.

Ancelotti may be tempted to make some changes, though, with the likes of Andre Gomes, Mason Holgate and Ben Godfrey all in contention to return to the starting lineup.

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Ayling, Struijk, Cooper, Alioski; Phillips; Costa, Dallas, Klich, Harrison; Bamford

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Holgate, Mina, Keane, Godfrey; Doucoure, Gomes; Richarlison, Rodriguez, Digne; Calvert-Lewin


SM words green background

We say: Leeds United 1-1 Everton

Everton may be better off than Leeds in terms of points, but the home side enter this game in better form thanks to back-to-back victories.

Of the 45 teams the Toffees have faced at least 10 times away from home in their top-flight history, their lowest win rate on the road is against Leeds.

However, Ancelotti's men have looked good on their travels and we can see them taking at least a point from this latest trip to Elland Road.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Leeds vs Everton

Leeds United
47.9%
Draw
26.0%
Everton
26.0%
242
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Raphinha celebrates scoring for Leeds United against West Bromwich Albion in the Premier League on December 29, 2020
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